MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x732df4e1c6b440b3d898ac1d5b168f971969149c9ac47171000412942d051459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 42c | 161,191$68,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,302.16 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 58c | 99,778$57,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,906.73 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 57c | 52,632$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,631.58 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Over | 43c | 5,887$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.26 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 3,682$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.46 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 2,738$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.22 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 2,502$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.57 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 57c | 2,336$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.62 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 2,181$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.04 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 1,623$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.75 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked Under | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 1,054$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.19 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 57c | 627.89$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 58c | 434$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 56c | 428.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Under | 59c | 396.77$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 56c | 335.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Over | 45c | 325.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 57c | 273.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 58c | 243.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 1,438 | 51%734 W · 704 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 56c | 193.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 55c | 103.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 57c | 102.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 44c | 97.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 68c | 90.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…c8e7backed Over | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Over | 42c | 72.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 43c | 50.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…14c4backed Over | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Under | 58c | 49.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 44.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 57c | 43.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Under | 56c | 41.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Over | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 58c | 37.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Under | 57c | 33.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 57c | 33.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Over | 45c | 31.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Over | 33c | 30.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Over | 43c | 26.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 43c | 26.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…6831backed Under | 68c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 57c | 21.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…282cbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago CubsLos Angeles Angels won
- NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago CubsYes won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.