CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735a9c57b24740f6fd86f9ee2608f3961f4cd2b76ed964dfef72781cf090ea31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Abyssal, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Abyssal | 29c | 3,337$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.74 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed Ground Zero | 69c | 2,884$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.94 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Abyssal | 26c | 1,996$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…6ba2backed Ground Zero | 74c | 1,754$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Ground Zero | 71c | 1,418$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.68 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…bab6backed Ground Zero | 72c | 999.97$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ground Zero | 71c | 937.64$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Ground Zero | 72c | 900.01$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Abyssal | 23c | 709.79$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Abyssal | 26c | 656.75$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Abyssal | 28c | 553.39$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…680ebacked Ground Zero | 71c | 508$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Abyssal | 48c | 397.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked Abyssal | 46c | 396.76$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Ground Zero | 71c | 349.48$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Abyssal | 34c | 324.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Abyssal | 10c | 320$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Abyssal | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Abyssal | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Abyssal | 28c | 294.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Abyssal | 29c | 289.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Ground Zero | 51c | 241.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Abyssal | 39c | 208.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Ground Zero | 71c | 207.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Ground Zero | 71c | 200.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7349backed Ground Zero | 59c | 199.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Abyssal | 30c | 195.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Abyssal | 30c | 185.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…c606backed Abyssal | 13c | 175.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Abyssal | 28c | 164.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Abyssal | 24c | 163.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Abyssal | 28c | 163.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Abyssal | 30c | 155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Abyssal | 32c | 152.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Ground Zero | 71c | 150.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Abyssal | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Abyssal | 28c | 143.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Ground Zero | 71c | 142.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…efa0backed Ground Zero | 70c | 132.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…09aebacked Abyssal | 30c | 128.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Abyssal | 10c | 118.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Ground Zero | 71c | 105.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked Abyssal | 29c | 101.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Abyssal | 14c | 99.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Ground Zero | 71c | 91.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Ground Zero | 69c | 90.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Abyssal | 35c | 87.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Abyssal | 29c | 86.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Abyssal | 19c | 84.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Ground Zero | 70c | 81.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Abyssal | 29c | 81.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Ground Zero | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Ground Zero | 73c | 79.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Abyssal | 35c | 75.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a40abacked Ground Zero | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Ground Zero | 59c | 59.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Abyssal | 31c | 49.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Abyssal | 31c | 45.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Ground Zero | 71c | 39.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…0751backed Abyssal | 28c | 38.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Ground Zero | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Ground Zero | 72c | 36.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ground Zero | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed Ground Zero | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Ground Zero | 57c | 29.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Ground Zero | 54c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…02b5backed Ground Zero | 75c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Ground Zero | 71c | 24.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.