Cricket · resolved market
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73984d5be51ea59a988e5ef2878402e2557143160494960200fea08f3c529f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof Portugal, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portugal | 75c | 2,143$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.41 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Portugal | 1c | 1,151$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked France | 34c | 866.13$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.5 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Portugal | 7c | 505.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Portugal | 69c | 492.47$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed France | 22c | 476.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked France | 36c | 360.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.92 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed France | 36c | 344.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed France | 30c | 335.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.71 | 327 | 15.9%52 W · 275 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Portugal | 48c | 272.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Portugal | 5c | 254.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…f6a9backed France | 29c | 191.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed France | 8c | 166.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked France | 23c | 150.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed France | 23c | 135.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed France | 23c | 123.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 211 | 36%76 W · 135 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Portugal | 71c | 99.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Portugal | 77c | 81.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Portugal | 76c | 79.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked France | 48c | 45.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Portugal | 57c | 38.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…4c15backed Portugal | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…8489backed France | 53c | 27.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Portugal | 49c | 27.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…aa5dbacked Portugal | 75c | 26.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Portugal | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.