Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73c9ffc430ce02b232d3ae392257bf75bea2f6eb456ceb1b4b025fdc0d02c0d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 50c | 3,738$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 1,137$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.45 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 975.05$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.03 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 51c | 499.08$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.55 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 455.42$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 454.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.63 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 396.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 370.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 331.91$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.95 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 49c | 261.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 209.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 32c | 160.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 29c | 154.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 75c | 138.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 58.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 40.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 47c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 52c | 20.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.