Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Washington State Cougars vs. Portland Pilots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747fb4393a9113f0a07201b9d562d5871fc370d74d339b7c0f66cc848e211ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington State Cougarsof Washington State Cougars, Portland Pilots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Portland Pilots | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Portland Pilots | 33c | 4,114$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington State Cougars | 51c | 3,805$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Portland Pilots | 17c | 2,328$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.8 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington State Cougars | 60c | 2,326$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Portland Pilots | 18c | 1,818$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Washington State Cougars | 70c | 1,777$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.6 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington State Cougars | 60c | 1,554$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.01 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington State Cougars | 49c | 1,269$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington State Cougars | 53c | 1,089$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.92 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Portland Pilots | 40c | 1,005$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.18 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Portland Pilots | 62c | 968.71$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Washington State Cougars | 60c | 967.33$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.93 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Portland Pilots | 20c | 776.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Portland Pilots | 31c | 729.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Washington State Cougars | 60c | 687$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.8 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington State Cougars | 64c | 596.97$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington State Cougars | 67c | 558.63$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Portland Pilots | 16c | 549.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Pilots | 15c | 528.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Washington State Cougars | 74c | 481.7$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Washington State Cougars | 62c | 374.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Portland Pilots | 35c | 365.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portland Pilots | 23c | 273.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington State Cougars | 61c | 230$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Portland Pilots | 32c | 186.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Portland Pilots | 30c | 176$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae44…b7fbbacked Portland Pilots | 17c | 173.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Portland Pilots | 38c | 137$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Washington State Cougars | 61c | 130.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Washington State Cougars | 52c | 122$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…45c8backed Portland Pilots | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Portland Pilots | 25c | 101.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Washington State Cougars | 52c | 96.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Portland Pilots | 39c | 89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Portland Pilots | 38c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Portland Pilots | 23c | 83.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Portland Pilots | 15c | 81.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Portland Pilots | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Washington State Cougars | 67c | 63.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Portland Pilots | 26c | 58.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Washington State Cougars | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Portland Pilots | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington State Cougars | 75c | 49.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Washington State Cougars | 70c | 44.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Portland Pilots | 37c | 43.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Washington State Cougars | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington State Cougars | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Washington State Cougars | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…56f3backed Washington State Cougars | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Portland Pilots | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Washington State Cougars | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Portland Pilots | 62c | 30.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Portland Pilots | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Washington State Cougars | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Washington State Cougars | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Washington State Cougars | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Washington State Cougars | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Washington State Cougars | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Washington State Cougars | 65c | 22.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Washington State Cougars | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Washington State Cougars | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State Cougars vs. Portland Pilotsthis page
- Spread: Washington State Cougars (-4.5)Washington State Cougars won
- Washington State Cougars vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.