MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x752fdc5d9775d2c4bf5fd6eee65585f38a6f588485c893453e3d43ec3cb25467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof SSG Landers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x255a…3435backed SSG Landers | 15c | 1,002$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…0ddfbacked SSG Landers | 48c | 412.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 295.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed SSG Landers | 17c | 288.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…0c38backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 277.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 229.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed SSG Landers | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 167$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 76c | 154.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed SSG Landers | 43c | 137.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed SSG Landers | 38c | 114.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed SSG Landers | 16c | 114.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 48c | 101.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed SSG Landers | 47c | 99.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SSG Landers | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Doosan Bears | 73c | 65.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 61.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed SSG Landers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…8c6ebacked SSG Landers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed SSG Landers | 44c | 41.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed SSG Landers | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 24.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.