Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d5a6502b5956d0781dfd580c949eae3dd6d5f79476cd29ca51b4c523b1564a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7f3…d56cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,470$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 4c | 6,124$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 1,261$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…4033backed Yes | 28c | 1,190$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.01 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…d07ebacked No | 64c | 985.25$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.18 | 154 | 33.8%52 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 29c | 976.72$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 39c | 839.74$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.16 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…10cbbacked Yes | 20c | 776.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…e889backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +12.9wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Yes | 32c | 470.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 78c | 441.72$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 24c | 410.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 23c | 395.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked Yes | 36c | 392.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…5967backed Yes | 32c | 347.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e66…52f5backed Yes | 16c | 339.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 338.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 324.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 13c | 249.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 18c | 209.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 23c | 207.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed No | 69c | 206.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 9c | 187.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 24c | 144.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 23c | 135.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 78c | 127.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 16c | 121.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 86 | 23.3%20 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed Yes | 25c | 119.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 116.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 29c | 112.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 19c | 109.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 80c | 109.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 115 | 69.6%80 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 105.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 27c | 100.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 13c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…3304backed Yes | 15c | 93.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 86.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…0b7ebacked Yes | 30c | 81.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 80.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 39c | 77.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Yes | 37c | 76.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…b8fdbacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 74.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 24c | 72.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 29c | 72.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…2af3backed Yes | 31c | 69.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 65.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 31c | 63.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked No | 74c | 63.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 34c | 59.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 55c | 55.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 54c | 54.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…2015backed No | 72c | 52.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 29c | 49.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked No | 73c | 48.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d9…d6f3backed Yes | 26c | 48.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 64c | 47.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 31c | 46.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 44.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 29c | 41.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 38c | 41.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 41.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed No | 53c | 41.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c63…fafebacked Yes | 56c | 40.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 38.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…ad95backed No | 67c | 34.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 72c | 34.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…6813backed Yes | 34c | 31.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 30.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 72c | 29.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed No | 71c | 29.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…17dfbacked No | 75c | 28.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 70c | 26.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…67a8backed No | 66c | 25.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 154 | 77.9%120 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de8…0e79backed No | 68c | 24.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 99 | 80.8%80 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked No | 77c | 23.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…4ef0backed No | 65c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…5f7ebacked No | 70c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 19.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d54…7e8ebacked No | 66c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 70c | 19.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…be3dbacked No | 74c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…e245backed No | 79c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 86 | 76.7%66 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.