Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Chivas Esports vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76719fad61854102a22a1c86e012fae135359e7d83980e5fc3b4f4b9e10e31ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contraof Chivas Esports, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Contra | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chivas Esports | 53c | 892.9$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.64 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Chivas Esports | 37c | 800$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Contra | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chivas Esports | 48c | 475.52$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.88 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Contra | 73c | 465.89$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…701fbacked Chivas Esports | 44c | 440$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Contra | 72c | 430.83$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chivas Esports | 38c | 413.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Chivas Esports | 17c | 325.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Contra | 73c | 290.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chivas Esports | 52c | 272.35$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Chivas Esports | 28c | 264.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Contra | 56c | 232.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 216$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Chivas Esports | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Contra | 59c | 181.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Contra | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…a029backed Contra | 78c | 159.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…31c4backed Chivas Esports | 28c | 154.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chivas Esports | 27c | 149.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Contra | 79c | 147.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Chivas Esports | 26c | 146.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chivas Esports | 53c | 130.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chivas Esports | 21c | 125.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Contra | 73c | 94.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Chivas Esports | 21c | 87.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Chivas Esports | 30c | 85.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Contra | 68c | 80.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d922backed Chivas Esports | 29c | 69.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…6a68backed Chivas Esports | 22c | 54.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Contra | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Chivas Esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Contra | 56c | 47.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Contra | 65c | 46.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Chivas Esports | 30c | 40.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Chivas Esports | 38c | 29.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Contra | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Contra | 72c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Contra | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Contra | 80c | 16.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Contra | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs Contra - Map 1 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerChivas Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.