Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Lions vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768b6e859800411602f751e595a5731645d42132d4a6c0e8004612953e1bfedc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Lionsof Zhejiang Lions, Zhejiang Golden Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Zhejiang Lions | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 23c | 864.1$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 22c | 666.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Zhejiang Lions | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 29c | 380$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zhejiang Lions | 75c | 371.5$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 27c | 281$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 20c | 254.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 26c | 195.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Zhejiang Lions | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 19c | 190.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhejiang Lions | 80c | 183.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 22c | 137.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Zhejiang Lions | 78c | 126.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 24c | 122.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…b817backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 27c | 121.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Zhejiang Lions | 77c | 113.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Zhejiang Lions | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 23c | 99.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 36c | 68.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 29c | 65.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…8aefbacked Zhejiang Lions | 77c | 65.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Zhejiang Lions | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Zhejiang Lions | 77c | 64.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 17c | 62.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 24c | 61.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…bc1dbacked Zhejiang Lions | 71c | 47.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zhejiang Lions | 69c | 43.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zhejiang Lions | 77c | 38.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Zhejiang Lions | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Zhejiang Lions | 71c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zhejiang Lions | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.