NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x773ffa20bf2e368b200b6876b6e63eb6f4f1a289df5dc8da595072182260a17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Nets | 48c | 10,501$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Rockets | 51c | 10,500$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.04 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 51c | 8,753$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockets | 52c | 8,376$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.33 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nets | 49c | 5,797$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.35 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 51c | 4,806$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Rockets | 52c | 4,210$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.17 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockets | 50c | 3,920$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.7 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Nets | 49c | 2,525$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.31 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,325$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.49 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Rockets | 51c | 1,570$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.77 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nets | 50c | 909$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.56 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Rockets | 52c | 696.92$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.72 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…4362backed Nets | 49c | 370$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…3ec0backed Rockets | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…2053backed Nets | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…b30bbacked Nets | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Nets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rockets | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nets | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Rockets | 50c | 60.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Nets | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Nets | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Nets | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0555…cc10backed Nets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Nets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ea…0c47backed Nets | 51c | 35.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…faccbacked Nets | 51c | 29.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…6c5bbacked Nets | 51c | 29.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…9c9cbacked Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c14…4573backed Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…faf0backed Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…56a4backed Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…7838backed Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…b792backed Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…74adbacked Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…8270backed Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…216cbacked Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…89ecbacked Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…844cbacked Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…b8e7backed Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…2d23backed Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf231…6b8dbacked Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…c5ebbacked Nets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…f485backed Nets | 51c | 29.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…2571backed Nets | 51c | 22.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…efdbbacked Rockets | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Nets | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f4…eafabacked Nets | 51c | 21.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8b…b6aebacked Nets | 51c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…4738backed Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…a49cbacked Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…ba9cbacked Nets | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7f…a722backed Nets | 51c | 19.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)this page
- Nets vs. RocketsRockets won
- Nets vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nets vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.