MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777690b8ec35efdf9cd4f177d340dd4dd9d7145304af7f492970011d6b8398d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 5,127$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.69 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 2,621$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.31 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…c49fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,530$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 1,511$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.32 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,412$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,399$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.62 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,369$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.65 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2155backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 525.64$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…fa32backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 510.46$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 500$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…0b10backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…b9a6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 474.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 121$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c53…8052backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 90.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…b4febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…2a0ebacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…71e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…f1c6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 40.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 30.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 30.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.