Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Belinda Bencic vs Iga Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77a020258f4bc2428e3f085bc047e6c14bee63c831d94bc3ee2d93ce4f2141eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swiatekof Bencic, Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bencic | 14c | 2,124$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Bencic | 16c | 2,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.47 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bencic | 14c | 1,324$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bencic | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Bencic | 16c | 1,118$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bencic | 18c | 1,087$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Bencic | 14c | 1,040$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Swiatek | 65c | 1,000$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.47 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Bencic | 6c | 999.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bencic | 13c | 815.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bencic | 24c | 670$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Bencic | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Swiatek | 70c | 370.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bencic | 13c | 357.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bencic | 23c | 340.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…fad8backed Bencic | 17c | 324.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bencic | 13c | 272.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Swiatek | 77c | 258.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bencic | 15c | 235$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Bencic | 13c | 229.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…44bcbacked Bencic | 13c | 221.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Bencic | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Bencic | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Bencic | 15c | 159.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bencic | 14c | 152.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bencic | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Bencic | 14c | 118.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Bencic | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Bencic | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Bencic | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Swiatek | 71c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bencic | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.