TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ShindeNof largadosypelados, ShindeN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed ShindeN70c1,204$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.761,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed ShindeN73c1,115$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.751,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed largadosypelados34c967.71$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.75749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed largadosypelados39c518.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed largadosypelados23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN72c394.39$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.441,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed largadosypelados23c282.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9627544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4723…5f64backed largadosypelados30c268.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados16c237.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed ShindeN67c229.57$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2428173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked largadosypelados13c224.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.373,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed largadosypelados27c222.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.974,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed largadosypelados21c216.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN78c209.72$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.873,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked largadosypelados30c194.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.492,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked largadosypelados18c175.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.292,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed largadosypelados17c167$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.135,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN76c166.61$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.644,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed largadosypelados19c163.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.442,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ShindeN71c121.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.682,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed largadosypelados39c106.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked largadosypelados19c106.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed largadosypelados27c103.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9877146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed largadosypelados19c97.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8227037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed ShindeN61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1634547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed ShindeN65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2522654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed largadosypelados20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked largadosypelados19c62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8238032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ShindeN61c57.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.665,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ShindeN69c55.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.312,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked largadosypelados27c53.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1167547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked largadosypelados26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked largadosypelados39c49.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.125,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked largadosypelados35c47.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.722037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked ShindeN65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.011,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked largadosypelados27c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.663,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed ShindeN69c37.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6543544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked largadosypelados28c37.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ShindeN70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.872,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ShindeN72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.721,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked ShindeN75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2436174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.