Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Alina Korneeva vs Celine Naef
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77fdddd7d8bbca0414b9bd57eb4f423209fbdbdbdebea6ef4eb789391a4b84e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celine Naefof Alina Korneeva, Celine Naef
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Celine Naef | 73c | 2,963$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.86 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Celine Naef | 58c | 2,953$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.02 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Alina Korneeva | 23c | 2,500$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.99 | 115 | 67%77 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alina Korneeva | 41c | 1,844$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.43 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alina Korneeva | 25c | 1,482$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.87 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alina Korneeva | 27c | 762.62$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Celine Naef | 70c | 682.58$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Alina Korneeva | 41c | 515$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Alina Korneeva | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alina Korneeva | 35c | 476.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Celine Naef | 77c | 472.41$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alina Korneeva | 22c | 438.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Alina Korneeva | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alina Korneeva | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Alina Korneeva | 16c | 227.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a7…4fbabacked Alina Korneeva | 30c | 207$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Celine Naef | 51c | 194.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alina Korneeva | 48c | 176.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alina Korneeva | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Alina Korneeva | 42c | 147.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Celine Naef | 71c | 139.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alina Korneeva | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Celine Naef | 49c | 135.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Celine Naef | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…d2dabacked Celine Naef | 62c | 124.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Celine Naef | 41c | 104.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Celine Naef | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Alina Korneeva | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Alina Korneeva | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Celine Naef | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Celine Naef | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Celine Naef | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Celine Naef | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Alina Korneeva | 36c | 94.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alina Korneeva | 35c | 93.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Alina Korneeva | 26c | 78.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Celine Naef | 60c | 71.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Celine Naef | 45c | 48.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alina Korneeva | 48c | 48.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…5ba0backed Celine Naef | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alina Korneeva | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alina Korneeva | 37c | 41.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…393ebacked Celine Naef | 62c | 41.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Celine Naef | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Alina Korneeva | 36c | 38.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Celine Naef | 80c | 33.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Alina Korneeva | 48c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celine Naef | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celine Naef | 67c | 30.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Celine Naef | 62c | 28.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Alina Korneeva | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Celine Naef | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Celine Naef | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…1eddbacked Celine Naef | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.