Tennis · resolved market
Philadelphia: Anna Frey vs Ashlyn Krueger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783d1aa3e53976532e10d6c3e9bd44a4fc79ada451325f6451285a0ff00ee92c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ashlyn Kruegerof Anna Frey, Ashlyn Krueger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Anna Frey | 3c | 60,760$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.39 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anna Frey | 1c | 13,683$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Anna Frey | 3c | 5,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Anna Frey | 2c | 3,615$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anna Frey | 3c | 3,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Anna Frey | 3c | 3,169$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Frey | 2c | 2,193$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Anna Frey | 4c | 2,050$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Anna Frey | 4c | 1,242$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anna Frey | 3c | 1,167$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Anna Frey | 4c | 1,146$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Anna Frey | 3c | 998.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Anna Frey | 4c | 868.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Anna Frey | 1c | 775$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anna Frey | 3c | 765.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Anna Frey | 4c | 681.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Anna Frey | 3c | 549$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Anna Frey | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Anna Frey | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Anna Frey | 4c | 499$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Anna Frey | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Anna Frey | 4c | 274$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.