Tennis · resolved market
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Lily Taylor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78a8304b019298e90c6bb95d9c1bc2c4a4ad332428ad8d6d4d4f6f53801ea88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lily Taylorof Alexis Nguyen, Lily Taylor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Alexis Nguyen | 1c | 4,919$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alexis Nguyen | 48c | 4,745$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.2 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lily Taylor | 67c | 1,543$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.92 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lily Taylor | 39c | 951.52$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.87 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lily Taylor | 63c | 946.57$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lily Taylor | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Lily Taylor | 21c | 576.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.22 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Lily Taylor | 34c | 450$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.53 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Lily Taylor | 77c | 322$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Alexis Nguyen | 16c | 264.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alexis Nguyen | 47c | 159.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Alexis Nguyen | 14c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lily Taylor | 35c | 135.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexis Nguyen | 51c | 134.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexis Nguyen | 51c | 131.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Alexis Nguyen | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lily Taylor | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lily Taylor | 35c | 95.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alexis Nguyen | 69c | 65.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Alexis Nguyen | 72c | 56.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lily Taylor | 53c | 45.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Alexis Nguyen | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alexis Nguyen | 44c | 35.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lily Taylor | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alexis Nguyen | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alexis Nguyen | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lily Taylor | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Lily Taylor | 62c | 22.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Alexis Nguyen | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Lily Taylor | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.