Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d8f56a11d0126a7590e7d3ffa25b57e70e555b8349d9675b2d104c455d137e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof TYLOO, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked TYLOO | 16c | 1,566$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.79 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TYLOO | 12c | 1,025$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked TYLOO | 22c | 739$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TYLOO | 21c | 720.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TYLOO | 13c | 590.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed TYLOO | 23c | 426.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 79c | 317.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 289.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked TYLOO | 40c | 265$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed TYLOO | 43c | 256.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TYLOO | 46c | 235$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…ca45backed TYLOO | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked TYLOO | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 167.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TYLOO | 11c | 132.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked TYLOO | 18c | 127.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TYLOO | 9c | 127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 124.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed TYLOO | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…a55fbacked TYLOO | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked TYLOO | 42c | 114.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 78c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TYLOO | 25c | 102.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed TYLOO | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked TYLOO | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked TYLOO | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked XLG Gaming | 76c | 89.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed TYLOO | 35c | 84.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked TYLOO | 25c | 80.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…df54backed TYLOO | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked XLG Gaming | 78c | 68.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 57.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed TYLOO | 46c | 54.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked TYLOO | 31c | 49.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 30.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 22.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5)TYLOO won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed DecidersXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.