Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7907b83244ca02168e428f68d22293d4796d1bd1c1404aa5ac5ef30eb422b8d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Yes | 3c | 781.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 46c | 500.02$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 27c | 487.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.67 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 36c | 437.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.23 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 42c | 429.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 61c | 344.26$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.83 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…2a5ebacked Yes | 77c | 289.29$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -12.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 35c | 200.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 29c | 189.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…1de3backed Yes | 29c | 179.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed No | 32c | 146.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 33c | 142.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 13c | 139.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 14c | 138$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 55c | 125.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 70c | 121.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 107.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 105.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 100.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 51c | 88.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 88.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…6ddfbacked No | 31c | 77.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 28c | 75.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 51c | 68.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 65c | 68.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 32c | 62.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 61c | 62.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…6dabbacked No | 41c | 62.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 49c | 58.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 73c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…53d0backed No | 46c | 57.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked No | 54c | 54.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 37c | 53.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 44.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 74c | 42.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 41c | 41.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…743abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 46c | 40.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 57c | 39.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 33c | 39.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed No | 44c | 37.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…7a24backed No | 60c | 36.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…d242backed Yes | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 48c | 35.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…cc7dbacked No | 48c | 35.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1ba2backed Yes | 63c | 35.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 38c | 34.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 40c | 33.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 56c | 32.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 56c | 31.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 62c | 30.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 51c | 29.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 28.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 26.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 61c | 25.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 45c | 24.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 61c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 54c | 23.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…76c2backed No | 71c | 22.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 75c | 21.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2380…b7f7backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 64c | 17.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 76°F or higher on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.