Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Doumbia/Reboul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7917b53e524827ee1859e62ca2ceaa7632cdf02c98fc5d09ee486a5531a3ce63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nys/Roger-Vasselinof Nys/Roger-Vasselin, Doumbia/Reboul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.97 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Doumbia/Reboul | 39c | 2,281$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.83 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doumbia/Reboul | 40c | 1,510$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.37 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 54c | 1,373$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.3 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 46c | 1,142$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.14 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doumbia/Reboul | 45c | 1,036$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.36 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Doumbia/Reboul | 34c | 790.06$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.06 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…7e46backed Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 558$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 541.42$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 529.27$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 38c | 407.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 407.32$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 176 | 59.1%104 W · 72 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 42c | 366.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Doumbia/Reboul | 40c | 317.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 236 | 28.8%68 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 280.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 255$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 21c | 222.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb89…48e6backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 64c | 155.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 60c | 96.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Doumbia/Reboul | 37c | 88.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…a612backed Doumbia/Reboul | 40c | 86.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 77c | 79.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 40c | 62.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Doumbia/Reboul | 38c | 61.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 77c | 43.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Doumbia/Reboul | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 708 | 21.2%150 W · 558 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 70c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.