Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Lucrezia Stefanini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a41d170f102996a79220557621587edf5078acd4a977d0ad897757ab300c39e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Lucia Bronzetti, Lucrezia Stefanini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 38c | 4,750$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.01 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 23c | 3,978$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.37 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 1c | 2,088$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 535 | 39.3%210 W · 325 L | +37.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 1,905$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.07 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 1,304$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.51 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lucia Bronzetti | 73c | 1,111$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.44 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 16c | 952.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 252 | 34.1%86 W · 166 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 29c | 940$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 63c | 880$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 645.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 10c | 528.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 483.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 429.97$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 411.29$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 396.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 29c | 370.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 22c | 358.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 72c | 337.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 32c | 317.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 36c | 242.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Lucia Bronzetti | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 214.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 204$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 23c | 170.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 13c | 167.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 166$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 69c | 164.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 830 | 56.1%466 W · 364 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 159.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 157.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a968backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 20c | 148.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 36c | 146.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 129$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lucia Bronzetti | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Lucia Bronzetti | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Lucia Bronzetti | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 33c | 84.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 71c | 76.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc06…d3b7backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lucia Bronzetti | 73c | 65.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 39.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 32c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 33c | 38.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 35c | 37.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 35.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 40c | 33.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 20.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1bd5backed Lucia Bronzetti | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.