Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rome: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Bella Payne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4478aadab629dc81b05c9a44c8cd41f21bd6d8ceef42d75560bba92feaf608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sahaja Yamalapalliof Sahaja Yamalapalli, Bella Payne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bella Payne | 34c | 349.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 78c | 255.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Bella Payne | 33c | 177.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 64c | 175.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Bella Payne | 20c | 175.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Bella Payne | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 78c | 114.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Bella Payne | 19c | 108.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bella Payne | 21c | 103.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bella Payne | 12c | 100.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Bella Payne | 13c | 98.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bella Payne | 16c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Bella Payne | 18c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 68c | 88.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 74c | 74.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bella Payne | 36c | 60.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Bella Payne | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 70c | 45.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 66c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 68c | 19.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 67c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.