NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bbfa4c5816bc3c6995b09aee7d217a58f77f90218775c8858831ffb85d620ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Kraken, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7239…6591backed Kraken | 32c | 4,746$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.81 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kraken | 44c | 4,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 59c | 3,981$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.43 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Flames | 57c | 3,700$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…090fbacked Kraken | 43c | 3,555$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00d…610dbacked Kraken | 43c | 3,486$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked Kraken | 43c | 3,460$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Flames | 57c | 3,460$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Flames | 57c | 3,460$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…87f3backed Kraken | 43c | 3,460$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Flames | 57c | 3,420$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…997fbacked Kraken | 43c | 3,420$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…bdaabacked Flames | 57c | 2,594$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Flames | 56c | 2,582$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.79 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…40c2backed Flames | 57c | 2,524$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Flames | 56c | 2,479$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.1 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken | 44c | 2,255$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.12 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kraken | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…0745backed Flames | 57c | 1,923$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,895$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.87 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Flames | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flames | 29c | 1,500$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Flames | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Flames | 45c | 1,294$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.79 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 56c | 1,247$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.43 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Kraken | 42c | 1,245$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 37c | 1,174$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kraken | 68c | 1,068$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.59 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flames | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 45c | 999.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.41 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Kraken | 79c | 715.49$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Flames | 60c | 667.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.81 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kraken | 44c | 571.93$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…0c0bbacked Kraken | 80c | 519$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 56c | 508.06$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kraken | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kraken | 44c | 419.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Flames | 58c | 403.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Kraken | 74c | 362.68$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…45b3backed Flames | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 27c | 231.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…daffbacked Kraken | 46c | 228.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kraken | 44c | 227.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 56c | 223.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Kraken | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kraken | 44c | 218.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Kraken | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Kraken | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 42c | 197$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…ede5backed Kraken | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…9a07backed Flames | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2b42backed Kraken | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5418…a6eebacked Flames | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…9054backed Flames | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…66fabacked Kraken | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…e0fabacked Kraken | 46c | 154$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…654bbacked Kraken | 46c | 154$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9658…8f9dbacked Flames | 56c | 154$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 56c | 146.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…5bfbbacked Kraken | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 70cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Flames | 63c | 144$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Kraken | 76c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 54c | 121.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kraken | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Kraken | 43c | 110.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Kraken | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Flames | 75c | 100.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Flames | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flames | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Flames | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Flames | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Flames | 46c | 86.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…2465backed Flames | 58c | 83.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…5db7backed Kraken | 44c | 82.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 56c | 82.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed Flames | 31c | 78.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…8e64backed Flames | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Flames | 57c | 69.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…58febacked Kraken | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…7d89backed Flames | 57c | 66.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…61b1backed Flames | 58c | 63.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Flames | 52c | 62.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…4a40backed Flames | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Kraken | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Kraken | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Kraken | 73c | 54.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…43e7backed Kraken | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…0678backed Kraken | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…be62backed Kraken | 44c | 52.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…0800backed Flames | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Flames | 75c | 51.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Flames | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Kraken | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1329backed Flames | 47c | 46.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Kraken | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…fd3cbacked Flames | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked Kraken | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.