South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc9ae22d1ed3f4d25dcd58e12ec6dc1897b57e122bfa60e5b2b0d5731ce7fd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Newell's Old Boysof CA Unión, CA Newell's Old Boys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed CA Unión | 31c | 20,978$6,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.62 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 75c | 6,422$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 5,485$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.69 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 1,789$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.2 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 1,645$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.09 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 70c | 1,403$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.86 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 1,184$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.71 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 1,177$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.71 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 68c | 1,087$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.73 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 73c | 564.72$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 537.35$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked CA Unión | 24c | 464.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 408.33$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 317.79$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed CA Unión | 17c | 253.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 56c | 248.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 70c | 225.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 71c | 213.18$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 68c | 206.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 206.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CA Unión | 32c | 188.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed CA Unión | 29c | 179.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked CA Unión | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed CA Unión | 27c | 171.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed CA Unión | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 142.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 141.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 138.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 121.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CA Unión | 33c | 110.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 102.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed CA Unión | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 65c | 85.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed CA Unión | 58c | 75.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked CA Unión | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3173backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 72c | 68.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 46c | 58.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed CA Unión | 29c | 49.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CA Unión | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed CA Unión | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 70c | 41.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CA Unión | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 35.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked CA Unión | 28c | 35.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 74c | 30.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 70c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 76c | 21.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 69c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)this page
- CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-2.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-2.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.