TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

San Diego Toreros vs. Pacific Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacific Tigersof San Diego Toreros, Pacific Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Toreros13c2,207$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.072,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed San Diego Toreros26c1,796$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.142327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed San Diego Toreros13c1,668$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacific Tigers19c1,398$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.171,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed San Diego Toreros2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pacific Tigers9c955$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.551,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacific Tigers57c717.55$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.254,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Pacific Tigers9c495.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.642,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Pacific Tigers42c450$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26110437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Pacific Tigers67c315.83$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.542,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked San Diego Toreros31c287$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed San Diego Toreros38c265.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Diego Toreros64c246.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.741,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a1c…da57backed San Diego Toreros42c220.41$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Pacific Tigers13c215.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.615133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Pacific Tigers18c214.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8636845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked San Diego Toreros80c169$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.25556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed San Diego Toreros61c163.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4312733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pacific Tigers33c146.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.152,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed San Diego Toreros70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Pacific Tigers74c127.59$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1710652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pacific Tigers69c122$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pacific Tigers39c111$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.771,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked San Diego Toreros67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.481050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked San Diego Toreros20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pacific Tigers55c92.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6232343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacific Tigers68c83.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Pacific Tigers43c82.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1619057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Pacific Tigers37c70.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4623544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed San Diego Toreros71c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4812034.2%41 W · 79 L-13.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed San Diego Toreros26c51.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.392,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Pacific Tigers42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2964322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego Toreros33c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.232,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Pacific Tigers28c41.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6330746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…8560backed Pacific Tigers32c37.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed San Diego Toreros72c25.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0745644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Pacific Tigers76c24.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.946100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacific Tigers64c16.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Pacific Tigers76c15.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.733786.5%32 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.