Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Pacific Tigers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869f35fc24178fa7635f62f7e241b8386c03b4db415f73c94687c4278a1c230f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Torerosof Pacific Tigers, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $563,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 501,256$255,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,639.91 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 399,427$195,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,707.74 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 101,175$49,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,599.7 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 39,876$19,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,225.93 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacific Tigers | 51c | 12,760$6,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,466.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pacific Tigers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 6,797$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.32 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 6,180$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.8 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 6,063$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.13 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pacific Tigers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 4,781$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 4,600$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacific Tigers | 51c | 3,718$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.18 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.99 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacific Tigers | 51c | 2,126$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 1,608$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.62 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked San Diego Toreros | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 634.36$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 545$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 321.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadca…58debacked San Diego Toreros | 50c | 100.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 98.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 95.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 73.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 70.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked San Diego Toreros | 50c | 69.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 30.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Pacific Tigers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Pacific Tigers | 51c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Pacific Tigers | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked Pacific Tigers | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed San Diego Toreros | 74c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pacific Tigers (-7.5)this page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Pacific TigersPacific Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.