Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Alina Granwehr
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf02946413008c0ef1ef9edeaa6de007b9af3b2fb5ddce21bebecb901ba535f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Granwehrof Yasmine Kabbaj, Alina Granwehr
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alina Granwehr | 67c | 964.48$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alina Granwehr | 43c | 935.17$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.01 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 55c | 851.55$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.35 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alina Granwehr | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 35c | 530.41$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 57c | 353.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 26c | 231.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 35c | 208$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 35c | 164.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Alina Granwehr | 70c | 118.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 35c | 113.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alina Granwehr | 61c | 102.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alina Granwehr | 65c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alina Granwehr | 65c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 36c | 63.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 44c | 51.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 34c | 50.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alina Granwehr | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alina Granwehr | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alina Granwehr | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Alina Granwehr | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alina Granwehr | 45c | 29.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alina Granwehr | 63c | 21.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alina Granwehr | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Alina Granwehr | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…133cbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 57c | 17.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Alina Granwehr | 78c | 16.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Alina Granwehrthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kabbaj vs GranwehrGranwehr won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.