NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c16bbf4e62c90062ebb6f717f558d4fb9c05a44f1b7dae412f72102d5ce19b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf984…5098backed Bruins | 36c | 2,671$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.51 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Devils | 64c | 2,172$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.22 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Bruins | 34c | 1,604$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.84 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bruins | 34c | 1,578$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.57 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Devils | 66c | 890.55$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.76 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Bruins | 34c | 634.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.6 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…c2c2backed Bruins | 33c | 435.78$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Bruins | 34c | 430.62$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.3 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Devils | 67c | 429.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.72 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Devils | 66c | 400.13$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Bruins | 36c | 384.79$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.32 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Devils | 68c | 196.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bruins | 69c | 186.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Devils | 64c | 119.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Devils | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Devils | 47c | 109.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Devils | 67c | 99.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 32c | 92.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Devils | 47c | 76.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Devils | 66c | 75.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Devils | 65c | 74.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Devils | 14c | 72.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Bruins | 53c | 68.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Bruins | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Devils | 68c | 63.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Devils | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Bruins | 36c | 60.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Devils | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Bruins | 73c | 53.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Devils | 65c | 52.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Bruins | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Bruins | 36c | 47.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Devils | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Bruins | 47c | 33.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Bruins | 35c | 32.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Devils | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Devils | 55c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Devils | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…33afbacked Devils | 66c | 27.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Devils | 47c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Devils | 46c | 21.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Devils | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 67c | 16.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. BruinsBruins won
- Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.