Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c965c817d895073f76d63c9921ec4a9432d5a5d31cebc3a3c54e90617d20fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 23c | 3,442$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.99 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 68c | 3,101$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.88 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 28c | 2,593$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.16 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 22c | 1,439$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.86 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 1,366$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 72c | 1,098$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.52 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 21c | 1,006$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 79c | 818.32$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.85 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 23c | 548.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 22c | 480.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 79c | 471.24$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 22c | 467.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 18c | 449.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 80c | 399.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 51c | 272$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 22c | 245.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 27c | 244.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 80c | 219.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 21c | 216.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 21c | 204.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Yes | 80c | 180.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 20c | 178.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 14c | 159.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Yes | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 19c | 148.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 20c | 146$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 138.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 15c | 104.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 22c | 97.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 93.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…492abacked No | 23c | 93.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 62c | 79.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 78c | 78.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 20c | 62.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 78c | 60.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 80c | 60.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed No | 20c | 57.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 79c | 50.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 22c | 49.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 72c | 39.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 79c | 37.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 79c | 30.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Yes | 67c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Yes | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 79c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Santa Coloma vs. SK Rapid Wien end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Santa Coloma win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.