Tennis · resolved market
Iasi: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Alexander Donski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ca06d95791462724217c6992922c9f16adddd9a4c8642868a66e061f8d4db34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgof Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg, Alexander Donski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexander Donski | 13c | 31,602$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.72 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alexander Donski | 12c | 3,840$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.56 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexander Donski | 10c | 2,920$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 68c | 2,864$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.99 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alexander Donski | 20c | 1,974$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.14 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 79c | 1,565$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.96 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alexander Donski | 17c | 1,387$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.52 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 61c | 1,349$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.84 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 1,261$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.51 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Alexander Donski | 35c | 1,211$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.23 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Alexander Donski | 15c | 1,192$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.61 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alexander Donski | 30c | 999.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Alexander Donski | 40c | 754.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alexander Donski | 32c | 746.59$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.91 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…9779backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 71c | 668.1$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alexander Donski | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexander Donski | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 72c | 445.67$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alexander Donski | 10c | 438.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 74c | 404.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alexander Donski | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Alexander Donski | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Alexander Donski | 17c | 398.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Alexander Donski | 49c | 334.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Alexander Donski | 40c | 326.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Alexander Donski | 25c | 315.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 70c | 297.57$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 68c | 273$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 72c | 257.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Alexander Donski | 7c | 255.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 64c | 234.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alexander Donski | 18c | 222.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 53c | 189.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 53c | 182.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 78c | 162.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Alexander Donski | 13c | 162.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alexander Donski | 15c | 148.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Alexander Donski | 13c | 147.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alexander Donski | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alexander Donski | 17c | 124.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Alexander Donski | 33c | 120.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Alexander Donski | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 72c | 102.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Alexander Donski | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Alexander Donski | 31c | 97.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Alexander Donski | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 70c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Alexander Donski | 22c | 69.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Alexander Donski | 31c | 64.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…a566backed Alexander Donski | 31c | 59.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Alexander Donski | 33c | 56.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 79c | 45.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Alexander Donski | 40c | 40.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 65c | 39.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 370 | 65.1%241 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 69c | 37.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 72c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 64c | 21.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 76c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 492 | 51.6%254 W · 238 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…a06bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 76c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.