La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ca34b8991ce38ddd059f31e290d60b00e543d4d6c06fa2b02be69f3bcc083b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 3,714$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.19 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 66c | 3,268$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.23 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked No | 32c | 1,031$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 48c | 797.15$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 52c | 750.91$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.44 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 725.28$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.15 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 4c | 634$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 608.02$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.53 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 48c | 604.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 422.63$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 391$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 46c | 262.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked No | 54c | 215.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed No | 54c | 215.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 45c | 213.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 9c | 158.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 39c | 145.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Yes | 38c | 102.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 21c | 97.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 32c | 93.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…bfe7backed Yes | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 71.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 46c | 70.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…3eddbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 46c | 51.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bad…e9e0backed No | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 50.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…326ebacked Yes | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 41.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 65c | 40.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 40.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 62c | 36.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 48c | 31.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…7982backed Yes | 48c | 30.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…5db9backed No | 35c | 29.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b801backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 48c | 24.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 48c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 48c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 68c | 15.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will SD Eibar vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.