Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cc1850e6f5c3265cfd7f8fbd11c358417975bac1b44ca8d5e201651e8509cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 11c | 2,222$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes | 11c | 1,780$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…eb4abacked Yes | 11c | 459.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…3678backed Yes | 11c | 293.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 260.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 9c | 210.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ce…0b77backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…4228backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…6886backed Yes | 13c | 111.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd9…14d6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Neither team to score first?this page
- IR Iran to score first vs. New Zealand?No won
- New Zealand to score first vs. IR Iran?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.