Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d123b8fbfa92755da5e43b570fd8e473dbd9d7c6fa80cee17a20d3acf69b696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e8d…63bdbacked No | 0c | 18,900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 17c | 6,449$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.41 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 78c | 3,865$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.98 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 79c | 3,859$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.3 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 2,847$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.29 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 2,568$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 2,262$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.07 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 1,518$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.38 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,430$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.36 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 18c | 540$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 51c | 535.77$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.01 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 500$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.37 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 432.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 360$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 47c | 239.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 54c | 208.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 54c | 184.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 17c | 174.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 158.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 25c | 153.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 24c | 146.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 24c | 146.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 25c | 133.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 126.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 33c | 122.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 78c | 118.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 18c | 105.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 20c | 101.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +153%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 41c | 99.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 16c | 98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 69c | 97.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 24c | 90.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 25c | 84.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 17c | 82.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 38c | 81.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 79.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 58c | 75.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 65c | 73.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 25c | 70.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 25c | 67.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed No | 26c | 55.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 40.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 59c | 32.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 54c | 28.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 79c | 28.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…03c8backed Yes | 76c | 27.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed No | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 20.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.