TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Record" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x373a…f4c1backed No13c372.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1334151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No21c355.13$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4724037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No5c292.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No4c260.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2848636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed No28c185$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.051225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed No21c140$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No20c97.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No18c95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No21c69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4945736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No41c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.314839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f7c…208abacked No33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes76c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5310853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed Yes76c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4718473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.