TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs MINLATE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperial Academyof Imperial Academy, MINLATE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked MINLATE62c5,794$3,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,606.773,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9bf…4bebbacked Imperial Academy51c3,632$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.24047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MINLATE63c3,201$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.931,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Imperial Academy44c3,194$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.2621941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Imperial Academy38c2,877$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.1212752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MINLATE37c2,650$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.422,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MINLATE43c2,437$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.0149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MINLATE46c2,231$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.92,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Imperial Academy31c1,698$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.775056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Imperial Academy32c1,405$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.618341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MINLATE69c1,391$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.237,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MINLATE62c1,190$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.12,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e64…284bbacked Imperial Academy41c1,184$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.732070%14 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MINLATE45c1,071$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.146,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MINLATE66c1,064$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.8557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Imperial Academy55c972.15$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.772,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MINLATE66c778.49$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.094,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Imperial Academy33c582.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.317145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MINLATE66c556.13$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.0284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b50…180ebacked MINLATE65c508.71$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.322152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MINLATE71c502.36$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.72,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…790dbacked MINLATE68c500.21$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa69…6e45backed Imperial Academy31c494.64$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.31947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Imperial Academy33c433.69$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5736253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed MINLATE73c427.23$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8745465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Imperial Academy70c425.06$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5215749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed MINLATE64c420.11$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7539245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Imperial Academy51c405.48$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.691,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MINLATE46c386.18$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.555,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MINLATE71c349.17$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed MINLATE62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4418454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed MINLATE62c314.44$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4328660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40cd…f932backed Imperial Academy31c309.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.832437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Imperial Academy56c291.93$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4814137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Imperial Academy29c285.61$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4664854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Imperial Academy28c266.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9141847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Imperial Academy34c257.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2221636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MINLATE9c236.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.271,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Imperial Academy34c202.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5639239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MINLATE69c197$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.931,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MINLATE72c169.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.391,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Imperial Academy35c167.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5884037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Imperial Academy36c161.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.694736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Imperial Academy31c160.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9510247.1%48 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Imperial Academy34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9932844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MINLATE25c147.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.952,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed MINLATE66c146.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5533451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Imperial Academy28c136.82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5128852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Imperial Academy43c134.14$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MINLATE43c134.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.542,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Imperial Academy36c105.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.161,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed MINLATE61c100.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Imperial Academy34c96.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.014456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed MINLATE70c95.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7817153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Imperial Academy13c85.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.25949.2%29 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Imperial Academy31c83.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2910736.4%39 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed MINLATE72c78.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked MINLATE73c76.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0825753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88d1…c1c3backed Imperial Academy50c75.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.825574.5%41 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed MINLATE65c75.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9555950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed MINLATE66c74.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.981764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Imperial Academy34c74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0739440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Imperial Academy38c67.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1111254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81fc…f616backed MINLATE75c64.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.025164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…560bbacked MINLATE65c60.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f6…841abacked Imperial Academy28c58.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.831650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa97…69fabacked Imperial Academy34c53.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.321450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MINLATE36c52.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f79…e33ebacked MINLATE73c50.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.631428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed MINLATE44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228625.6%22 W · 64 L-13.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked MINLATE50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Imperial Academy30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Imperial Academy33c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.595642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked MINLATE72c49.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed Imperial Academy34c49.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.556735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40c…1734backed MINLATE61c49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Imperial Academy33c46.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.324955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked MINLATE71c44.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7438858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…5491backed Imperial Academy28c44.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.982751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1b…e271backed MINLATE46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.356358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MINLATE64c41.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.542,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked MINLATE63c39.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9917150.3%86 W · 85 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd023…fa38backed Imperial Academy35c38.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b6e…a603backed Imperial Academy51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MINLATE69c37.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.011,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed MINLATE67c36.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Imperial Academy54c30.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.074,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed MINLATE74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Imperial Academy37c29.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8517758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked MINLATE65c29.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.154348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Imperial Academy37c28.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.149842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed MINLATE66c28.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7647856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed MINLATE65c26.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3444743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed MINLATE69c24.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2415965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked MINLATE68c24.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9327556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Imperial Academy62c24.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3125042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Imperial Academy73c24.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6416464.6%106 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee05…d6ccbacked MINLATE60c23.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.834438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4702…c830backed MINLATE61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed MINLATE73c18.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.371540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.