Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d80ce5f5ad631752c8c647eeb7e2a2682897f4e8b258101927dadedc11244f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,321 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 4,999$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.2 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 67c | 3,385$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 3,137$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.43 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 70c | 2,082$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 31c | 2,046$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.36 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 70c | 1,700$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 32c | 1,549$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 855.57$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 785.18$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 32c | 774$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.17 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 19c | 722.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 660.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 634.62$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 69c | 436.86$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 12c | 374.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 69c | 374.54$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 360$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.89 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 65c | 270.81$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 30c | 189.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 68c | 173.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 120.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 32c | 111.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 32c | 109.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 49c | 109$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 108.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 107.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 106.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…00c2backed Yes | 56c | 106.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 15c | 101.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 93.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 68c | 81.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 81.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 74.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 73.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 68c | 64.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 57.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd59…87fbbacked Yes | 61c | 50.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 40c | 42.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 39.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 30c | 37.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 45c | 37.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 69c | 36.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…d082backed Yes | 30c | 36.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 45c | 34.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 42c | 28.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…260cbacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked No | 67c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga vs. FC Porto end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.