Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d86aec58bf5a42400bd14fdac14b52b79fe21eaf827c726dd7737998aeb5857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marko Maksimovicof Marko Maksimovic, Lorenzo Gagliardo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 19c | 9,222$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.26 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 26c | 5,000$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.76 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 5c | 4,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 4c | 3,740$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.45per pick | 11cpaid | +334.9%equal weight | 69+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 63c | 3,631$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.25 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44f…fff1backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 8c | 2,800$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…70b6backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 2c | 2,400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 3c | 2,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 19c | 2,000$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.41 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 58c | 1,908$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…30f7backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 7c | 1,600$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +255.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Marko Maksimovic | 33c | 1,583$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.61 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 7c | 1,466$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.42per pick | 11cpaid | +342.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 7c | 1,350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 50c | 972.46$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 62c | 962.97$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.84 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 61c | 794.98$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.83 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Marko Maksimovic | 38c | 751.86$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 17c | 533.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Marko Maksimovic | 40c | 415.2$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.12 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 58c | 330.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 6c | 324.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 5c | 304.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marko Maksimovic | 44c | 292.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…69f9backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 5c | 284$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 5c | 265.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 5c | 265.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 60c | 256.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…16cebacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 6c | 214.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 60c | 214.11$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 59c | 170.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 61c | 129.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 16c | 121.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marko Maksimovic | 38c | 107.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 20c | 97.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 16c | 92.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 15c | 85.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 59c | 83.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 42c | 72.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Marko Maksimovic | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Marko Maksimovic | 36c | 56.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 72c | 51.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 49c | 48.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Marko Maksimovic | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Marko Maksimovic | 36c | 34.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 59c | 33.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marko Maksimovic | 48c | 33.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Marko Maksimovic | 41c | 30.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 60c | 24.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardothis page
- Maksimovic vs. Gagliardo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Maksimovic vs. Gagliardo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Marko Maksimovic vs. Lorenzo Gagliardo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Maksimovic vs GagliardoMaksimovic won
- Set Handicap: Gagliardo (-1.5) vs Maksimovic (+1.5)Maksimovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.