TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katarzyna Kawa vs Kayla Day

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kayla Dayof Katarzyna Kawa, Kayla Day
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6feb…3042backed Katarzyna Kawa40c6,944$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Kayla Day59c6,540$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.2633955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kayla Day67c5,760$3,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.228,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Katarzyna Kawa25c5,591$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.7611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kayla Day60c4,454$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.4476146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Katarzyna Kawa29c3,812$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.7728039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Katarzyna Kawa41c2,683$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Katarzyna Kawa41c2,394$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.711646.6%54 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Katarzyna Kawa42c2,268$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.493,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Kayla Day60c2,082$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.663,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Kayla Day57c1,315$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.5956651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Katarzyna Kawa41c911.65$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.582,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Katarzyna Kawa26c817.99$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.694,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…9a2fbacked Katarzyna Kawa16c805.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-54.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Katarzyna Kawa8c800$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0911637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Katarzyna Kawa34c780$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.29,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Katarzyna Kawa40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Katarzyna Kawa41c665.16$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.724,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Katarzyna Kawa41c599.88$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.957,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Katarzyna Kawa42c476.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Katarzyna Kawa43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Katarzyna Kawa34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017941.3%74 W · 105 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Katarzyna Kawa41c406.96$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.854763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Kayla Day79c279.19$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1985348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Katarzyna Kawa42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Katarzyna Kawa41c239.54$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2139149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Katarzyna Kawa10c235.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.232,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Kayla Day77c223.58$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.213,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Katarzyna Kawa41c217.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.275,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kayla Day77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Katarzyna Kawa40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.992,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Kayla Day57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Katarzyna Kawa30c173$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.212,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Kayla Day59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4942934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Kayla Day59c162.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8273748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katarzyna Kawa10c156.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.696,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Katarzyna Kawa42c142.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Kayla Day58c142$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6415754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Katarzyna Kawa11c137.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Katarzyna Kawa40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Katarzyna Kawa16c121.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.472,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Katarzyna Kawa21c120.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.743,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Katarzyna Kawa41c119.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Kayla Day73c114$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.359253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Kayla Day75c114$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7473951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Kayla Day76c102$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4811550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kayla Day66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Kayla Day68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Katarzyna Kawa41c93.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2255032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84e…b520backed Kayla Day59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Kayla Day60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3315751.6%81 W · 76 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1f…7661backed Kayla Day60c81.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4323352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Katarzyna Kawa41c79.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1643952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Katarzyna Kawa21c72.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.322,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Kayla Day68c71.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7960446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Kayla Day57c69.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.041,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Kayla Day57c68.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.661,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Kayla Day59c68.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.261,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Katarzyna Kawa31c66.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.338,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Katarzyna Kawa18c65.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9699244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Kayla Day69c64.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2178847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Kayla Day59c53.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.847251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Katarzyna Kawa40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Kayla Day60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2057449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Katarzyna Kawa41c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6830436.8%112 W · 192 L-19.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Katarzyna Kawa43c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Katarzyna Kawa31c46.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.354,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Kayla Day70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c0…eca1backed Kayla Day60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Kayla Day60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.828237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Kayla Day72c31.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Katarzyna Kawa41c30.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kayla Day61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Kayla Day59c26.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0460651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae85…c96abacked Kayla Day56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7929352.2%153 W · 140 L-21.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Katarzyna Kawa40c25.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1487060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Katarzyna Kawa44c25.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Kayla Day68c23.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5419445.4%88 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Kayla Day68c21.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9676853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kayla Day78c17.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Kayla Day62c17.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6224748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Kayla Day60c17.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4c…d6a2backed Kayla Day74c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.024124.4%10 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Kayla Day68c14.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6830055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Kayla Day74c13.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.454,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Kayla Day74c13.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.536743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.