CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dbd42d5939d67e4b72b0f04055e137fa35f829b1c035cafdc11b372e96f5ca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIG Academyof BIG Academy, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BIG Academy | 73c | 907.5$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.61 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 512.36$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 433.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BIG Academy | 73c | 309$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG Academy | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Donstu Esports | 22c | 259$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports | 17c | 150.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG Academy | 63c | 129.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 33c | 116.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BIG Academy | 63c | 109.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Donstu Esports | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 31c | 107.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Donstu Esports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Donstu Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BIG Academy | 61c | 95.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Donstu Esports | 21c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BIG Academy | 72c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Donstu Esports | 30c | 57.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BIG Academy | 71c | 56.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BIG Academy | 76c | 50.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Donstu Esports | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Donstu Esports | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…436bbacked BIG Academy | 66c | 46.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 43.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BIG Academy | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Donstu Esports | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Donstu Esports | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed BIG Academy | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…fb23backed BIG Academy | 69c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BIG Academy | 77c | 20.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed BIG Academy | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group CBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerBIG Academy won
- Map Handicap: BIG.A (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)BIG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.