CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d7f68a0c35515dc6186b7bcd49f6f32f2416b48d747c68b191037423406e551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIG Academyof BIG Academy, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Donstu Esports | 31c | 1,594$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.36 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BIG Academy | 71c | 893.78$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Donstu Esports | 20c | 769.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Donstu Esports | 22c | 416.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG Academy | 77c | 370.15$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BIG Academy | 76c | 278.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Donstu Esports | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BIG Academy | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Donstu Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 16c | 178.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed BIG Academy | 76c | 148.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BIG Academy | 69c | 148.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Donstu Esports | 31c | 140.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed BIG Academy | 66c | 136.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports | 16c | 120.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed BIG Academy | 58c | 114.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BIG Academy | 68c | 106.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Donstu Esports | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Donstu Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Donstu Esports | 29c | 78.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…bcfabacked BIG Academy | 75c | 69.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG Academy | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Donstu Esports | 44c | 58.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 50.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Donstu Esports | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BIG Academy | 70c | 47.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BIG Academy | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked BIG Academy | 73c | 39.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 31c | 37.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Donstu Esports | 33c | 36.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed BIG Academy | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 32.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed BIG Academy | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BIG Academy | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked BIG Academy | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked BIG Academy | 75c | 28.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed BIG Academy | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group CBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerBIG Academy won
- Map Handicap: BIG.A (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)BIG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.