CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Dark Tigre vs MANGANESE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 15
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e32d8804c48131269186d229564dc695adf4282ffeb01640db6521b5fdb56c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Tigreof Dark Tigre, MANGANESE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5135…7217backed Dark Tigre | 51c | 379.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Dark Tigre | 74c | 279.03$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed MANGANESE | 49c | 268.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked MANGANESE | 49c | 198$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MANGANESE | 30c | 101.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked MANGANESE | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MANGANESE | 16c | 83.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Dark Tigre | 41c | 82.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dark Tigre | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dark Tigre | 52c | 56.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dark Tigre | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Dark Tigre | 74c | 45.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Dark Tigre | 62c | 40.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MANGANESE | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MANGANESE | 40c | 37.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Dark Tigre | 48c | 33.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed MANGANESE | 44c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked MANGANESE | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dark Tigre | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed MANGANESE | 61c | 29.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Dark Tigre | 63c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Dark Tigre | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Dark Tigre | 50c | 25.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MANGANESE | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Dark Tigre | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MANGANESE | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.