NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e34bbfcaee8d6aadf6db9717a1e84f9190dbf0f7756e54d32a9a596f7ef9f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Avangard Omsk, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa664…f849backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 4,036$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.11 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed CSKA Moscow | 42c | 3,795$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.66 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked CSKA Moscow | 42c | 630$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed CSKA Moscow | 41c | 378.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Avangard Omsk | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed CSKA Moscow | 39c | 156.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed CSKA Moscow | 42c | 137.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Avangard Omsk | 60c | 112.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSKA Moscow | 41c | 101.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed CSKA Moscow | 42c | 84.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed CSKA Moscow | 41c | 75.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked CSKA Moscow | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 70.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Avangard Omsk | 59c | 53.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CSKA Moscow | 27c | 53.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Avangard Omsk | 59c | 52.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CSKA Moscow | 42c | 47.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked CSKA Moscow | 43c | 46.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 60c | 46.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Avangard Omsk | 59c | 39.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…5117backed Avangard Omsk | 59c | 38.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 35.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Avangard Omsk | 71c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed CSKA Moscow | 41c | 33.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed CSKA Moscow | 42c | 30.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked CSKA Moscow | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Avangard Omsk | 59c | 28.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Avangard Omsk | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Avangard Omsk | 72c | 24.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked CSKA Moscow | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Avangard Omsk | 63c | 20.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avangard Omsk | 60c | 19.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Avangard Omsk | 59c | 19.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…78f6backed Avangard Omsk | 66c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Avangard Omsk | 66c | 15.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.