Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e36cf629796fa17956fe19e446df8f65c9aea8c9e9498234735a0ec6c56c52e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Green Bay Phoenix | 66c | 2,062$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.97 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 37c | 1,428$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.93 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 36c | 1,057$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.67 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 20c | 1,056$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 1,046$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.17 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Green Bay Phoenix | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Green Bay Phoenix | 66c | 992.15$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.33 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 32c | 833.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 63c | 702.59$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 14c | 685.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 10c | 607.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 64c | 533.44$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 65c | 398.04$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 19c | 393.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 37c | 270.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 32c | 224.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 62c | 219$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 34c | 198.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 65c | 190.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 181.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 42c | 172.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 168.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 127.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 110.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 58c | 99.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 94.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 66c | 89.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 84.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Green Bay Phoenix | 65c | 76.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 55.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 50.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 64c | 49.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…5c77backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 48.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 47.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 34c | 43.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 30.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 29.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 37c | 29.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Green Bay Phoenix | 66c | 28.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 144.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-4.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.