Tennis · resolved market
Figueira Da Foz: Ayla Aksu vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f10c553185da57dc2a379379ce8f3ba19ade30c04f56021216b642f2f178d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ayla Aksuof Ayla Aksu, Ana Sofia Sanchez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 3c | 2,603$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ayla Aksu | 74c | 1,174$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 28c | 1,065$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.33 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.48 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ayla Aksu | 73c | 951.49$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.55 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 26c | 674.31$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 27c | 519$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 23c | 503.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 20c | 256.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ayla Aksu | 78c | 226.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 20c | 204.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Ayla Aksu | 73c | 160.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Ayla Aksu | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 16c | 140.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Ayla Aksu | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Ayla Aksu | 73c | 135.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Ayla Aksu | 74c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 25c | 124.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Ayla Aksu | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 28c | 78.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 22c | 75.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 28c | 71.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ayla Aksu | 71c | 70.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 26c | 69.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Ayla Aksu | 73c | 52.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 521 | 35.1%183 W · 338 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ayla Aksu | 73c | 48.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 25c | 46.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ayla Aksu | 72c | 46.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Ayla Aksu | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…a4a4backed Ayla Aksu | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Ayla Aksu | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Ayla Aksu | 80c | 29.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Ayla Aksu | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 348 | 60.3%210 W · 138 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Ayla Aksu | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 103 | 68.9%71 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Figueira Da Foz: Ayla Aksu vs Ana Sofia Sanchezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Aksu vs SanchezAksu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.