Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State Aggies vs. Wyoming Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc7218188f0e3e319038458a03a7bfdd1776ccbfbeec517c38643f4e98cbac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Utah State Aggies, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 21c | 8,188$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.44 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Utah State Aggies | 79c | 6,888$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.68 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Utah State Aggies | 79c | 4,769$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.49 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah State Aggies | 79c | 1,654$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Wyoming Cowboys | 22c | 1,370$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.4 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Wyoming Cowboys | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 20c | 770.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Wyoming Cowboys | 32c | 658.6$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.87 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 17c | 412.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 25c | 404.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wyoming Cowboys | 21c | 290$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 21c | 287.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 283$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 271.46$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Utah State Aggies | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah State Aggies | 75c | 241.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 16c | 201.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wyoming Cowboys | 26c | 201.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 9c | 177.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 163.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah State Aggies | 74c | 162.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…0ae9backed Utah State Aggies | 75c | 142.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Utah State Aggies | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…757abacked Utah State Aggies | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 19c | 105.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wyoming Cowboys | 26c | 100.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 17c | 89.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Utah State Aggies | 74c | 74.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 20c | 64.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Utah State Aggies | 72c | 53.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Utah State Aggies | 74c | 50.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 49.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wyoming Cowboys | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Utah State Aggies | 79c | 18.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Utah State Aggies | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State Aggies vs. Wyoming Cowboysthis page
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-8.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.