Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8070643a05c606d3b20fabf0c70db600cb0fcef520b04d2e63e2c85220183dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8681…ef99backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 1,334$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.89 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked VP.Prodigy | 22c | 1,256$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.45 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 904.24$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.48 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VP.Prodigy | 16c | 507.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 434.76$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 229.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Yellow Submarine | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 188.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 140.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked VP.Prodigy | 10c | 137.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 126.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 123.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Yellow Submarine | 75c | 113.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 109.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 101.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 98.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 91.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 84.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 83.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 75.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…84c6backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 75.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 59.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…1f7cbacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 51.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 46.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 45.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 39.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 33.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.