TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over64c28,654$18,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,318.043850%19 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c7,718$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.567,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c5,995$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.395,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4403452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under35c3,271$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.281,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c3,245$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.192,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over52c2,879$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.033363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c1,865$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.862,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over40c1,750$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.6513432.1%43 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.462576%19 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under36c821.5$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7410854.6%59 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2163754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under62c564$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6883440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under36c552.78$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under36c456.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.347054.3%38 W · 32 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under36c456$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.161,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5535740.6%145 W · 212 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under36c321.43$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.717441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under36c320$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.22860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under41c315.1$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8815753.5%84 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c305.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0831661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over67c299.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.251631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over56c260.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7111548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12412440.3%50 W · 74 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.814257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.87258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under36c175$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6327856.1%156 W · 122 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over63c158.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1314468.8%99 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under36c144$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8410756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c127.9$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.232,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over37c125.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.558950.6%45 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over36c109.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2639850%199 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under42c105$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6317836.5%65 W · 113 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612655.6%70 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under40c91.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.343759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.43850%19 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89456.4%53 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.211656%65 W · 51 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.488957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.482669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.488560%51 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.482560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.486857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under36c64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.046155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under63c63.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.95453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under36c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3249046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over35c57.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.169861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189644.8%43 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under36c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under36c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.288557.6%49 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under36c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under36c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.287959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.29058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over38c44.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7414950.3%75 W · 74 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2621540.5%87 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47957%45 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513653.7%73 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7421254.7%116 W · 96 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under36c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.968658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Under36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210133.7%34 W · 67 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52825%7 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under36c29.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1853…68ffbacked Under36c27.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Under70c14.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-83.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.