Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Ghana: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80860fcba73cc6e017dab6b2342c7b0419d06276c82d31e5be6c7be803daa1b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 548.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 71c | 510.44$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.41 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 219.41$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 37c | 110.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 100.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…734bbacked Yes | 30c | 99.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 75.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 28c | 72.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…b97bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 71c | 66.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 32c | 61.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…e55abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 48.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 47.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…208cbacked Yes | 41c | 35.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked No | 69c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Ghana: Second half draw?this page
- England to win the second half?No won
- Ghana to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.