Fifa International · resolved market
England to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47dfd3e3b863423604355cf7403fb5ddb34621957cb4599115e0196a8230f60a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 71c | 25,839$18,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,297.91 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 29c | 22,071$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,668.92 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 7,582$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 33c | 4,461$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.57 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 29c | 1,369$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 31c | 1,002$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.33 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 30c | 998.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.26 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 657.21$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 30c | 618.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.33 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed No | 31c | 468.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.32 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 430.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 29c | 290.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.45 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 70c | 230$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 219.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…2834backed Yes | 70c | 192.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 188.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 176.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 163.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…ce17backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 22c | 138.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 35c | 126.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 58c | 125.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…324dbacked Yes | 67c | 111.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 35c | 106.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 33c | 100.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 30c | 100.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 30c | 85.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Yes | 71c | 82.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 33c | 50.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 30c | 47.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 69c | 43.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 30c | 42.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…d820backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…4e95backed Yes | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…f911backed Yes | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…b97bbacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c69…b5ecbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…208cbacked Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Yes | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3ac1backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -68%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…608bbacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 65c | 19.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Yes | 71c | 17.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to win the second half?this page
- England vs. Ghana: Second half draw?Yes won
- Ghana to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.