Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808e6a08bc2c8578c9b1330263ae28e10a7cdd5b04f7de4be3fec6b30c1ce877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof Evil Geniuses, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x473f…9892backed Evil Geniuses | 1c | 7,510$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Evil Geniuses | 24c | 6,420$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.34 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed NRG | 75c | 2,996$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.2 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 76c | 1,500$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 79c | 791.77$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 77c | 751.36$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Evil Geniuses | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Evil Geniuses | 16c | 310.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked NRG | 76c | 285.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed NRG | 68c | 156.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked NRG | 75c | 152.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 150.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Evil Geniuses | 21c | 138.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NRG | 76c | 120.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0f…5b90backed Evil Geniuses | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Evil Geniuses | 22c | 109.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NRG | 79c | 102.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG | 80c | 92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed NRG | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG | 78c | 66.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked NRG | 78c | 51.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Evil Geniuses | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Evil Geniuses | 34c | 44.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed NRG | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaNRG won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.