CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d7fe69005956dce3d389e4be17f2f34100ca84dca7e61c593cdf6821afaf88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Honvéd | 9c | 772.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed SPARTA | 74c | 586.15$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SPARTA | 72c | 422.91$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Honvéd | 16c | 421.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Honvéd | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed SPARTA | 74c | 353.39$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Honvéd | 20c | 258.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Honvéd | 13c | 195.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Honvéd | 26c | 195$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Honvéd | 27c | 165.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed SPARTA | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Honvéd | 11c | 141.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Honvéd | 12c | 132.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked Honvéd | 22c | 122.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Honvéd | 32c | 93.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed Honvéd | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked Honvéd | 24c | 84.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Honvéd | 27c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed SPARTA | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked SPARTA | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked SPARTA | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SPARTA | 66c | 52.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked SPARTA | 79c | 44.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Honvéd | 26c | 44.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed SPARTA | 67c | 43.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Honvéd | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SPARTA | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SPARTA | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed SPARTA | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA | 70c | 17.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked SPARTA | 78c | 16.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SPARTA | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed SPARTA | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…0909backed SPARTA | 76c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Honvéd - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Honvéd - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.